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房地产成瑞士投资首选 投资回报率冲上历史高峰

时间:2015-08-27??编辑:瑞士移民网

  瑞信(Credit Suisse)的一项研究报告表明,强势的瑞郎和负利率正将忧心忡忡的投资者推入房地产市场。

  

房地产成瑞士投资首选 投资回报率冲上历史高峰

  

  该行于3月4日发布了研究报告《2015年房地产市场—— 结构和前景》。该报告的作者称,由于瑞士央行采取负利率政策,房地产投资回报率和其它投资的回报率之间的差距正扩大至历史最高水平。

  研究称,投资者争相进入房地产市场,推高了房价,促进了新房投资,纵容并加速着房地产市场供过于求的趋势。

  与此同时,外汇市场的震荡,迫使企业节省开支,降低对办公空间的需求??。

  尽管如此,研究者认为,鉴于回报率的差异,房价在短期内会继续上涨。

  黄金地段的零售店铺,例如苏黎世班霍夫大街(Bahnhofstrasse)的商业区域,仍然很抢手;而市中心以外的房地产市场需求则转向疲软,边境附近的零售店铺尤其受到重创。

  研究预测,随着大量新房源的涌入,租赁市场也正迎来供过于求的局面,应会逐渐转变成租户市场。

  与租赁市场不同的是, 自住房市场预期受冲击较小。尽管人们购房的欲望较高,但高房价和调控政策抑制了购房需求。因此,购房者将目标转向房价更便宜的区域和价位更低的房产。

  该报告预测,住宅市场将经历 “软着陆”,而整体经济增速不会过度放缓。

  点击下页,查看英文原文

  The strong Swiss franc and negative interest rates are driving spooked investors into property, according to a study by Swiss bank Credit Suisse.

  The difference in the rate of return between property investments and other forms of investment is at a record level as a result of the central bank’s negative interest rate policy, say authors of “Property market 2015 – structures and prospects”, published on Wednesday.

  The flight into property is pushing up prices, thus increasing investment in new construction projects, creating more space and accelerating the trend for oversupply, the study said.

  At the same time, turmoil on the currency markets was forcing companies to make savings, reducing demand for office space.

  Nevertheless, the authors believed that, for the time being, property prices would continue to increase as a result of the yield gap.

  As for retail space, expensive locations, such as Zurich’s Bahnhofstrasse, still remain sought-after, while demand outside the city centres is weak. Retail areas near the border have been particularly hit.

  “The business environment in the retail sector, which in any case has seen better days, is only going to get gloomier following the appreciation shock,” according to the Credit Suisse report.

  ‘Soft landing’

  Regarding rental accommodation, the study expects considerable renewed increase in the number of lodgings available. The rental market is moving towards an oversupply and should slowly turn into a tenant’s market, it said.

  The situation was different for the home ownership market, where little impact was expected. The study acknowledged that although desire to own property remained high, demand was being stifled by high prices and regulatory policies. Buyers were therefore turning instead to cheaper regions or smaller purchases.

  The report predicted the home ownership market would experience a so-called “soft landing”, when a sector is expected to slow down but not crash, while the wider economy doesn’t slow down as much.

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